<div dir="ltr">A number of years ago I saw a statistic from the CIA that the total world petroleum production divided by the world population is equal to something like 2 litres per person day. Since most of us G-20 inhabitants use much more than 2 litres per day, a lot of people are obviously using less. Sobering thought, when shopping for deals on airline tickets......................N</div><div class="gmail_extra"><br><div class="gmail_quote">On Wed, Mar 9, 2016 at 9:40 AM, conservation architect <span dir="ltr"><<a href="mailto:elitalking@rockbridge.net" target="_blank">elitalking@rockbridge.net</a>></span> wrote:<br><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0 0 0 .8ex;border-left:1px #ccc solid;padding-left:1ex">
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN:0in 0in 0pt;LINE-HEIGHT:13pt"><span><font face="Times New Roman"><font style="FONT-SIZE:14pt"><strong>1.66 tons co2 equivalent emissions/person to be
fair</strong></font></font></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN:0in 0in 0pt;LINE-HEIGHT:13pt"><span><font face="Times New Roman"><font style="FONT-SIZE:14pt"></font></font></span> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN:0in 0in 0pt;LINE-HEIGHT:13pt"><span><font face="Times New Roman"><font style="FONT-SIZE:14pt">An important concept emerged in the COP21 (Climate
Change) conference in Paris last December. 195 countries articulated a
need to achieve a net zero carbon emissions economy. This requires us to
meet our economic needs in a way that does not increase carbon
concentration. </font></font></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN:0in 0in 0pt;LINE-HEIGHT:13pt"><span><font face="Times New Roman"><font style="FONT-SIZE:14pt"></font></font></span> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN:0in 0in 0pt;LINE-HEIGHT:13pt"><span><font face="Times New Roman"><font style="FONT-SIZE:14pt">This brings up the question of what is our maximum
average emissions to achieve this. Given the limits of the atmosphere to
absorb carbon safely, this average represents what would be fair for each of us
to consume globally. </font></font></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN:0in 0in 0pt;LINE-HEIGHT:13pt"><span><font face="Times New Roman"><font style="FONT-SIZE:14pt"></font></font></span> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN:0in 0in 0pt;LINE-HEIGHT:13pt"><span><font size="4" face="Times New Roman"><strong>Emissions-Sequestration <=
zero</strong></font> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN:0in 0in 0pt;LINE-HEIGHT:13pt"><span><font size="4" face="Times New Roman"></font></span> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN:0in 0in 0pt;LINE-HEIGHT:13pt"><span><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">More broadly the formula includes aspects that include
the feedbacks such as diminished reflective ice, to:</font></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN:0in 0in 0pt;LINE-HEIGHT:13pt"><span><font size="4" face="Times New Roman"></font></span> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN:0in 0in 0pt;LINE-HEIGHT:13pt"><span><font size="4" face="Times New Roman"><strong>Heat increasing developments – heat reducing
developments <= zero</strong></font></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN:0in 0in 0pt;LINE-HEIGHT:13pt"><span><strong><font size="4" face="Times New Roman"></font></strong></span> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN:0in 0in 0pt;LINE-HEIGHT:13pt"><span><font face="Times New Roman"><font style="FONT-SIZE:14pt">The following is based on my analysis and not a
conclusion read from a paper by a real scientist.<span> </span>Clarifications, corrections or additions
are welcome.</font><span><font style="FONT-SIZE:14pt"> </font></span></font></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN:0in 0in 0pt;LINE-HEIGHT:normal"><span><font face="Times New Roman"><font style="FONT-SIZE:14pt"></font></font></span> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN:0in 0in 0pt;LINE-HEIGHT:normal"><span><font face="Times New Roman"><font style="FONT-SIZE:14pt">The graphic below is from IPCC report regarding
emissions from fossil fuel and land use (human caused), vegetation & land
(natural) and ocean (natural). I use the term natural loosely, because the
sequestration rates for vegetation, land and ocean are likely higher because of
the high concentration of carbon created by anthropogenic (human caused) burning
of fossil fuels and land use (deforestation). Since Ocean sequestration
over what they emit causes acidification, we really need to balance our
individual emissions with vegetation and land. These figures do not
include the sequestration from some undetermined human method. So far, bio
char technology is the only method I see on the horizon that does not have huge
risk. </font></font></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN:0in 0in 0pt;LINE-HEIGHT:normal"><span><font face="Times New Roman"><font style="FONT-SIZE:14pt"></font></font></span> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN:0in 0in 0pt;LINE-HEIGHT:normal"><span><font face="Calibri"><font style="FONT-SIZE:12pt"></font></font></span> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN:0in 0in 0pt;LINE-HEIGHT:normal"><span><img title="clip_image001" style="BORDER-TOP:0px;BORDER-RIGHT:0px;BACKGROUND-IMAGE:none;BORDER-BOTTOM:0px;PADDING-TOP:0px;PADDING-LEFT:0px;BORDER-LEFT:0px;DISPLAY:inline;PADDING-RIGHT:0px" border="0" alt="clip_image001" src="cid:8897B8903A3346088755D9D20EE47A3D@userHP" width="400" height="222"></span><span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN:0in 0in 0pt;LINE-HEIGHT:normal"><span><font size="4" face="Times New Roman"><a href="https://www.skepticalscience.com/human-co2-smaller-than-natural-emissions.htm" target="_blank">https://www.skepticalscience.com/human-co2-smaller-than-natural-emissions.htm</a></font></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN:0in 0in 0pt;LINE-HEIGHT:normal"><span><font size="4" face="Times New Roman"></font></span> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN:0in 0in 0pt;LINE-HEIGHT:normal"><span><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">Vegetation and Land has net sequestration
(439-450) 11gigatons/world population 7.3 billion people=1.66 tons co2
emissions/person to achieve net zero carbon emissions.</font></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN:0in 0in 0pt;LINE-HEIGHT:normal"><span><font size="4" face="Times New Roman"></font></span> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN:0in 0in 0pt;LINE-HEIGHT:normal"><span><font size="4" face="Times New Roman">Therefore, if the world achieved an average of
1.66 tons of co2 emissions equivalent, we would not longer be adding GHG to the
atmosphere. I think it would be useful to recognize the level of
performance needed to become harmless to the climate. Beacause of the
delay in achieving this standard, we really need to be net negative.
However, conceptually I think this is a useful concept to understand.
</font></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN:0in 0in 10pt;LINE-HEIGHT:13pt"><font size="4" face="Times New Roman"></font> </p></div></div></div></div>
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