[Stoves] Weather alert

Crispin Pemberton-Pigott crispinpigott at gmail.com
Tue May 24 15:04:17 CDT 2011


Dear Friends

 

There is a particularly urgent weather warning in effect in the central US
and the moment. If you missed it check:

 

Particularly dangerous situation (PDS) tornado watch issued, explosive
supercells imminent

 

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0925.html

 

And the radar is at

http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/full_loop.php

 

AREAS AFFECTED...NW TX...WRN AND CNTRL OK

   

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY 

   

   VALID 241718Z - 241845Z

   

   STORM INITIATION IS EXPECTED ACROSS WRN OK AND NW TX OVER THE NEXT

   HOUR. SUPERCELLS SHOULD RAPIDLY DEVELOP WITH A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL

   AND TORNADOES. A TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE ISSUED BY 18Z.

   

   

   SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A 997 MB LOW IN THE NRN TX PANHANDLE WITH A

   DRYLINE EXTENDING SWD FROM THE LOW ACROSS FAR WRN OK INTO WEST TX.

   THE DRYLINE IS STARTING TO ADVANCE EWD WITH VISIBLE SATELLITE

   IMAGERY SHOWING AN EXPANDING FIELD OF CUMULUS FROM I-40 IN WRN OK

   SWD TO NEAR SAN ANGELO IN WCNTRL TX. AS FURTHER DESTABILIZATION

   OCCURS THIS AFTERNOON AND THE CAP WEAKENS...RAPID CELL INITIATION IS

   EXPECTED TO OCCUR ALONG THIS CORRIDOR. AS THIS OCCURS...A 50 TO 65

   KT MID-LEVEL JET EJECTING NEWD TOWARD THE SRN PLAINS WILL CREATE

   STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR PROFILES VERY FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS. AS

   STORMS INTENSIFY...VERY LARGE HAIL GREATER THAN 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER

   WILL BECOME LIKELY. IN ADDITION...A 30 TO 40 KT LOW-LEVEL JET IS IN

   PLACE ACROSS NW TX AND WRN OK. AS THIS FEATURE

   STRENGTHENS...LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL BECOME VERY FAVORABLE FOR

   TORNADOES. WITH 0-3 KM STORM RELATIVE HELICITIES INCREASING INTO THE

   450 TO 600 M2/S2 RANGE...LONG-TRACK STRONG TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED TO

   OCCUR LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.

   

   ..BROYLES.. 05/24/2011

Get out your disaster/survival stove and keep some fuel dry.

Regards

Crispin

 



More information about the Stoves mailing list