[Stoves] Business sickness (Crispin)

Paul Anderson psanders at ilstu.edu
Mon Aug 1 09:28:33 CDT 2016


A.D.,

Exactly so!!!!   What could be some plans of action to accomplish 
this??   Who are the advocates of such assistance?

Paul

Doc  /  Dr TLUD  /  Prof. Paul S. Anderson, PhD
Email:  psanders at ilstu.edu
Skype:   paultlud    Phone: +1-309-452-7072
Website:  www.drtlud.com

On 8/1/2016 2:28 AM, Anand Karve wrote:
> Indian villagers generally use fuel generated in their own farms 
> (e.g.stalks of cotton and pigeonpea, dung cakes). Government of India 
> subsidizes modern energy sources such as LPG and electricity, which 
> are used in the cities. As the fuel used by villagers is not 
> subsidized, the government should at least subsidize improved stoves. 
> At least in India, the administrative infrastructure exists for 
> supervising such a programme.
> Yours
> A.D.Karve
>
> ***
> Dr. A.D. Karve
>
> Chairman, Samuchit Enviro Tech Pvt Ltd (www.samuchit.com 
> <http://www.samuchit.com>)
>
> Trustee & Founder President, Appropriate Rural Technology Institute (ARTI)
>
> On Sun, Jul 31, 2016 at 11:53 PM, Traveller <miata98 at gmail.com 
> <mailto:miata98 at gmail.com>> wrote:
>
>     Nikhil Desai again, on "performance metrics" and subsidies, in
>     response to Crispin Pemberton-Pigott.
>
>     ------------
>     I partly agree with Crispin, “There is always the possibility that
>     an assumption is blocking the way. In this case, that a high
>     performance stove (however defined) has to cost a lot more..”
>
>     The primary error is in holding that fuel consumption and emission
>     rates are performance metrics. Says who? The bean-counters of
>     petajoules, trees and sequestered carbon, DALYs (all of which are
>     cooked numbers)? Unfortunately, we have created energy poverty
>     pundits with galling ignorance and misinformation. Treating stoves
>     and lungs as mere oxidation machines is mockery of the poor.
>     Subsidizing government stove experts to control biomass stove
>     designs and subsidies hasn't done a thing for India, as this
>     article last year shows so vividlyUp in Smoke
>     <http://www.caravanmagazine.in/reportage/smoke-India-perfect-cookstove> (Caravan,
>     April 2015).
>
>     What matters is creating an aspirational product, for today’s
>     children and youth, not grandmas. “High cost” if a barrier, can be
>     dealt with by subsidies. The metric of success, in my mind, is
>     whether a user buys a second product or a replacement product with
>     lower or no subsidies.
>
>     ---
>     There are three main reasons subsidies have not received much
>     attention for solid fuel stoves (compared to LPG and electricity):
>     i) Not enough confidence in the benefits (as perceived by the
>     poor, including convenience); ii) Difficult or irrational
>     technical standards that are unenforceable (I can debate this some
>     other time); iii) Perception of un-competitive behaviour and
>     potential for corruption or stagnation; iv) unclear demand
>     potential and success metrics; and v) potentially high
>     administrative costs. The last can get a nightmare with the type
>     of Monitoring and Evaluation some donors have been forcing on
>     stove programs; poor governments don’t have the luxury of fancy,
>     non-reproducible experiments on the poor just for keeping foreign
>     PhDs employed. (Example - the infamous MIT gang of
>     Hanna-Duflo-Greenstone.)
>
>     This doesn't apply for all means of subsidies, but the Indian
>     government's stove programs have suffered from one or more of
>     these factors over the decades.  Giving consumer the choice may
>     get around some of these problems, provided i) and ii) are solved
>     (as they are for LPG; pico-PV is getting there.) For LPG, PNG and
>     grid electricity - heavily used for some 1/3 to 1/2 of cooking
>     energy demand in India, and other sources of emissions ignored by
>     the GBD gang - problems iv) and v) are also solved, enough that
>     few people bother about iii). A successful subsidy program creates
>     its vested interests; for biomass stoves, looks like the only
>     vested interest for government subsidies are MNRE and its
>     contractors.
>
>     Some other stoves are probably easier to subsidize – solar cookers
>     (no worries about fuel quality and use patterns), biogas small and
>     large, even gelfuel and stoves. My crude impression is,
>     governments are happy to leave bilateral donors and private
>     charities the field of “improved biomass stoves”. None has yet
>     been found worthy of a long-term subsidy program; however, I feel
>     other means of support ought to be extended to biomass stove
>     designers, testers, manufacturers. Governments are also major
>     buyers of fuel and stoves, but I rarely hear much on selling
>     stoves to them. (One exception I know of – Albert Butare in
>     Rwanda; I don’t know what came of the initiative.)
>
>     I suspect mid-size coal stoves are easier to certify and support –
>     when fuel quality is fairly consistent, and utilization rates are
>     high (cooking and heating). Their users tend to be not so poor as
>     those who rely on twig collection and three-stone fires. Research
>     on coals and their combustion is extensive; coal can be burnt
>     “clean enough” for boiler use.
>
>     Miracle biomass stoves that can take any fuel, so appeal to
>     household cooks to do a complete permanent switchover for any use
>     .. Wake me up in 15 years. (Some years ago, I drafted a proposal
>     that opened the door for India's Advanced Biomass Stoves program
>     that went up in smoke.)
>
>     Crispin again, "Cecil's question is which stove will find the
>     greatest acceptance in the least time? Make and maintain it
>     yourself forever, or wait for a subsidy? That is a rational
>     choice. If someone gives you as stove and you sell it then make
>     your own, you have benefitted from the stove programme.  I know
>     where there are thousands of examples of that. Maybe tens of
>     thousands. It depends on the offer."
>
>     If you mean tens of thousands of stoves, not worth the bother. If
>     tens of thousands of projects with millions of stoves, worth
>     building a record. Do GACC or giz or anybody have such records? I
>     hadn't seen any as of five years ago. What do you think has been
>     spent on woodstoves programs in poor countries to date by foreign
>     governments, multilateral agencies, and charities - some $400
>     million in 40 years? How much of that on subsidies and how much on
>     research, M&E, and learning lessons without really?
>
>
>
>     Nikhil
>     ---------
>     (India +91) 909 995
>     2080----------------------------------------------------------------------
>
>     Message: 2
>     Date: Sun, 3 Jul 2016 15:52:12 -0400
>     From: Crispin Pemberton-Pigott <crispinpigott at outlook.com
>     <mailto:crispinpigott at outlook.com>>
>     To: "'Discussion of biomass cooking stoves'"
>             <stoves at lists.bioenergylists.org
>     <mailto:stoves at lists.bioenergylists.org>>
>     Subject: Re: [Stoves] Fwd: business sickness
>     Message-ID: <COL401-EAS369ED0D936E79C2E6CF59BEB1270 at phx.gbl>
>     Content-Type: text/plain; charset="utf-8"
>
>     Dear Bob L
>
>
>     I think there is a choice or two that was not covered in your list
>     of the options (or rather, Radha?s options if that was the source).
>
>     "a billions women can't afford the stove they need. We have three
>     choices.
>     we can leave them out
>     we can sell them a stove they can afford that they will abandon
>     we can subsidize their purchase.
>
>     we choose to subsidise their purchase."
>
>     One of the things Cecil Cook keeps saying is that the designers
>     have to realise that there is an upper limit to what people are
>     willing to spend on a stove. That is true, and the amount can be
>     ascertained, but there is more complication to it.
>
>     A stove that only does a certain range of things (addressing
>     Nikhil?s question about ?performance?) has a certain perceived
>     value. Another device that does pretty much the same thing will be
>     assigned pretty much the same perceived value.
>
>     Three options: change the perceived value (advertising), or bring
>     more to the table (like adding electricity), or increase the
>     performance without increasing the cost.
>
>     There is always the possibility that an assumption is blocking the
>     way. In this case, that a high performance stove (however defined)
>     has to cost a lot more. This is common cause in the donor
>     community, with some but not a heck of a lot of justification.
>     Using the same materials and creating a new configuration can
>     deliver more benefit without increasing the amount of material of
>     the cost.  Some designs would benefit from being mass produced,
>     some from mass parts production and local assembly. Some designs
>     require a high local skill level and it is difficult to transfer
>     such skills.
>
>     My main point is that delivering far better stoves for the same
>     cost is what engineers and in fact universities are good at doing.
>     More function for less cost. I mention universities because while
>     they are not major sources of invention, they are very good at
>     optimising the application of new ideas. Engineers are supposed to
>     optimise the use of materials and cost to deliver a given
>     performance target with a required margin of safety as a matter of
>     course.
>
>     Practical Action made a major effort in Darfur to improve the
>     performance of the local mud stoves that were in common use. They
>     achieved a consistent 50% fuel saving across the board without an
>     increase in cost. Such an achievement is usually accompanied by a
>     reduction in emissions of smoke and CO because they have to be
>     burned to get that magnitude of performance increase. Not always,
>     but almost all the time. So we can demonstrate that the goal of
>     improvement can be achieved without having to spend more.
>
>     We can also spend more and get an improvement, no problem. Cecil?s
>     question is which stove will find the greatest acceptance in the
>     least time? Make and maintain it yourself forever, or wait for a
>     subsidy? That is a rational choice. If someone gives you as stove
>     and you sell it then make your own, you have benefitted from the
>     stove programme.  I know where there are thousands of examples of
>     that. Maybe tens of thousands. It depends on the offer.
>
>     Bob, it sounds like you have a winner of an approach, and it is
>     quite likely the government won?t kick in anything. Don?t give up,
>     but unless there is some net beneficial offer it will lag behind
>     in the decision tree.  Is it not possible for the communities to
>     kick something in? I live in Mennonite country and they frequently
>     do things like that. Local self-upliftment. If it is really
>     valuable and appreciated, to what extent can a community organise
>     things for its own benefit? I have seen amazing things happen.
>
>     Kukaa vizuri
>
>     Crispin
>
>     bob lange 508 735 9176 <tel:508%20735%209176>
>     the Maasai Stoves and Solar Project.
>     the ICSEE
>
>
>
>
>
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