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<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext;mso-fareast-language:EN-US">Dear Paul<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext;mso-fareast-language:EN-US"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<blockquote style="margin-top:5.0pt;margin-bottom:5.0pt">
<div>
<h3>1. eschatology (n.)<o:p></o:p></h3>
<p class="definition">the branch of theology that is concerned with such final things as death and Last Judgment; Heaven and Hell; the ultimate destiny of humankind<o:p></o:p></p>
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</blockquote>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:windowtext">></span>Very appropriate choice of words as atmospheric CO2 levels rise and could well contribute to (what you wrote):.
<o:p></o:p></p>
<blockquote style="margin-top:5.0pt;margin-bottom:5.0pt">
<p class="MsoNormal"> to turn the whole planet into a verdant gardený of delight.
<o:p></o:p></p>
</blockquote>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:windowtext">></span>But probably not "delight". More like a "hothouse garden eventually supporting less than half the number of the world's current population"
<span style="color:windowtext"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext">It is that sort of catastrophism which is the natural driver of the eschatological doom-mongers striving to make money from people’s ignorance of their own
planet. Good grief, people in the future are going to laugh at our gullibility. Even if it were true, that Western industrial society causes hot/cold, rain/drought, deserts/swamps, why is it the problem of the world’s poor to solve it?<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:windowtext">></span>(which means the end of standards of living as known today, but maninly suffered through environmental disruption, war, famine and disease inflicted on our descendants, unless drawdown is accomplished.)<span style="color:windowtext"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext">I think that is speculative gibberish. As anyone know who follows this matter closely, the entire edifice of climate catastrophism is built upon the projections
of computer models which have been, repeatedly and completely, proven to have no skill at all in predicting anything.
<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext">This stands quite apart from people predicting (saying), “cooking stoves increase atmospheric CO2 and that will lead to expanding deserts and starvation…”
(etc) while 5 minutes later saying that stoves create snow and ice by the same mechanism. If you claim that anything that is possible to happen is caused by witches, then when something happens, it is proof that it was witches behind the whole thing.
<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext">Did you know there is a better correlation between the global temperature and the number of pirates than the concentration of CO2?<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<span style="color:windowtext">></span>Your implied comparison between opinions by contemporaries of witches in the 1600s and current opinions of scientists in the 2000s is a bit of a streach. I'll interprete that as an attempt at humor.
<span class="moz-smiley-s1">:-)</span><span class="moz-smiley-s1"><span style="color:windowtext"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext">It was not an implied comparison – it is a perfect example. Read the letter from the Pope to Germany about the hurricanes they were experience as the Earth
cooled in the 1600’s. Terrible storms and famines. He said they are fully aware that the weather is controlled by witches and yet you tolerate them in every community. They responded by ‘identifying’ then burning 2500 of them in only three German provinces.
Each day that passed without a major storm was proof that the ‘cure’ was effective, supporting the consensus that the weather is controlled by witches. Bad weather, on the other hand proved, each time, that there was still more witches to be outed and burned,
further confirming the consensus. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext">Stoves and Health:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext">Compare the claims for ‘health benefits’ of three stoves and health studies being conducted right now by Fresh Air (Netherlands). The one in Kyrgyzstan (which
I have reported on previously) shows clearly that when on has a poorly constructed, badly burning stove (whatever the fuel) that leaks a significant fraction of emissions into the home either all the time or when it is opened for use and refueling, and replaces
it with a really good and properly installed stove, there are immediate, statistically significant improvements in health. In the other locations the evidence is far less conclusive because of confounding factors.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext">Before the Kyrgyzstan study, where was the proof that stoves can improve health, and by how much? Was there quantification of emissions, concentrations, exposure
and consequences? It is at least <i>possible</i> to appeal to ‘science’ and ‘data’ on this matter, but it is not possible to do that with aDALY’s because they are science fiction, and a very important part of the current conversation about performance and
forecasting possible impact. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext">If ‘drawdown’ can achieve a cooler, drier, stormier, increasingly desertified world with slower growing plants and shorter growing seasons, it will be ‘magic’
if it can support more people in better conditions. I do not yet believe in magic.
<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext">You don’t have to invoke the End Times in order to sell TLUD’s that cook well and make charcoal. Just get on with it.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext">Eschatologically yours*<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext">Crispin<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext"><br>
(Cribbed from the heading notes of the song <a name="w11">"<i>We Will All Go Together When We Go</i>"</a> by Tom Lehrer)<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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