[Stoves] Anticipating future markets for stoves and fuels

[Tom Miles]

Crispin,

Your call for processed fuels echoes on of our main recommendations to the
Global Alliance for Clean Cookstoves. 

Projections by the US Forest Service indicate a substantial increase in
demand and price of wood for construction, paper and energy with any
scenario (high, low or sustainable development). The degree depends on how
quickly developing countries other than China impact global demand. Right
now Japanese paper production was reduced by the Tsunami - three paper mills
were put out of action - which, combined with increases in Chinese demand,
has had a dramatic impact on our wood and wood residues prices on the West
Coast of the US. Some wood energy projects that I am working on are no
longer economically feasible due to this external demand. A client in
Michigan tells a similar story. There is no wood fuel available for his
project at an affordable price. These are just early warnings about the
impact of fiber and fuel shortages.     

Tom

 

 

From: stoves-bounces at lists.bioenergylists.org
[mailto:stoves-bounces at lists.bioenergylists.org] On Behalf Of Crispin
Pemberton-Pigott
Sent: Wednesday, June 22, 2011 6:23 AM
To: Stoves
Subject: [Stoves] Anticipating future markets for stoves and fuels

 

Dear Friends

One should be aware of the emerging markets in order to plan ahead. The
reason for this is that technologies take years to develop, and the same is
true for fuel supply chains.

There is an excellent paper by at
http://www.eike-klima-energie.eu/uploads/media/Moerner_Science_environm_sea_
level_3_11_Paper_534.pdf on the climate emerging in the next 40 years. 

The implications of his work, and that of many others who have studied this
in-depth (Stuiver and Quay, Hoyt and Schatten, Lean, Cliver, Rind, Bard,
Bond, Mazzarella, Friis-Christensen and Lassen, Schove, Sanders &
Fairbridge, Finkl and others) are that we are presently heading into a De
Vries cycle (event). 

The increasing need for space heating and processed space heating fuels that
are customized for dramatically improved stoves opens new opportunities for
inventors and market developers.

In particular the need for processed solid fuels is paramount. They can be
stored, shipped by many means of transport and are generally energy dense.
The appearance of torrefied wood pellets is an example of such a fuel. 

There are lots of new ideas to think about.

Regards

Crispin

 

 

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