[Stoves] Edited version of comment from CECook Stoves Digest, Vol 31, Issue 1 Topic 2

Cecil Cook cec1863 at gmail.com
Sun Mar 3 03:26:50 CST 2013


Dear stove scientists and climatologists,



I accessed this article in its pre-publication form at no cost from the
following URL



<ehs.sph.berkeley.edu/krsmith/publications/.../lam_est_2012.pd.>



The article is hard going for me, let's say a bit opaque, as a person who
last studied physics in high school.



I am once again reminded of the risks of doing 'hard' science where there
are so many unknowns and so many assumptions have to be made by researchers
to construct a model about the relationship between the black carbon
emitted by the wicks of illuminating lamps and something as gigantic as the
average temperature balance of the planet.



Unlike the cultural and social sciences (I am an anthropologist), where
informants can and eventually do talk back and rebuke researchers when they
stray too far off course and begin making ridiculous claims about the
culturally and socially constructed worlds that particular informants are
reputed to inhabit, Black Carbon does not have its own consciousness and
voice.  Therefore BC cannot censure errant climatologists when they deviate
too much from reality in their efforts - as researchers – to  understand
the role of BC in the climate system .... so it is indeed possible for
honest researchers to fall victim to their own mad hatter assumptions about
a devilish complex planetary climate system.



Unfortunately, the climate system does not have consciousness, agency and
voice in spite of what Kirkpatrick Sale says about Gaia.  The climate
scientists presume to speaks for Gaia.  When they succumbs to the
temptation of playing science politics with the world climate system they
run the risk of losing their way in the forest of their self created
symbolic representations of the how the planet's energy balances are
maintained, and how such a 'fragile' system is possibly threatened by the
careless actions of humans who create too much BC to light up the night.



We know what a world of trouble Michael Mann, Lord Stern and their
colleagues have gotten themselves into by hyper-interpreting their climate
data.  In the end their assumptions overpowered their common sense and
their data.  They permitted climate politics to contaminate climate
science.  Gratuitous and still unproved assumptions were inserted into
climate science about the causal mechanisms by which us ‘anthropods’ are
destabilizing and forcing the climate of the planet toward a
hotter equilibrium.  Hotter than what? Hotter than the climate present we
have known for the last hundred years?



I see there are 90% uncertainty ranges for all of the figures used in this
article.  I do not feel very confident with such a big range of variation.
 How would climatologists like it if I predicted that +/- 50% of a
particular stove using group – after demonstration of the superior
performance of an improved or advanced cookstove - can be expected to
purchase such a stove within the next 12 months with *+/- 90% uncertainty*.
 If there were 1 million households in this group, that statistic indicates
that 500 000 households can be expected to buy the better stove on offer
with a range of variation around this figure of a (+) high of 950 000
households and a low (-) of a low of 50 000 households.



Maybe I have misunderstood what 90% uncertainty bounds mean.  Have I?  I do
not know the usefulness of numbers that vary from 50 000 households and 950
000 households.  That is not much of a prediction in my part of the
scientific enterprise. What is being measured? Whose uncertainty is at
issue here?  Is it a measure of the ambiguity of the researcher or the
methods used for measuring BC and its forcing effects, or what?



Lastly, I would like a climatologist who is well informed about the role of
BC to explain why there is not more BC over South Africa.  Is it possible
to differentiate the signals of BC from illuminating kerosene from the BC
signals emitted from the much greater combustion of kerosene in 'Panda'
stoves and space heaters which have round wicks that are about 30 cm in
circumference and burn kerosene at a rate of 1 liter a day for cooking and
space heating during the cold months (or up to 30 liters a month at $1.20 a
day or $36 a month).  The use of these Panda heaters, although outlawed by
the SA Bureau of Standards, is still prevalent because the stoves are so
cheap (under $10) and they can space heat and cook at the same time.  The
collection of firewood has become a class indicator so women in most
townships do not like being seen carrying head loads of firewood.



I would estimate there are 10 to 15 million kerosene stoves in the
townships and villages of SA each of which uses a minimum of 30 liters of
kerosene a month during the winter and perhaps 15 liters a month during the
summer months for cooking.  Should not the burning of 30 litres a month X
 - let’s be  conservative here and say  - 7 500 000 kerosene burning stoves
in South Africa (=) or some 225 000 000 litres a month of kerosene a month
in South Africa produce a significant Black Carbon signal in the atmosphere
over our fair country?  I don’t see it on the map of BC forcing?  Should it
not be there or are other household uses of kerosene being excluded from
the map?



This is not my field so I am ignorant enough not to be embarrassed by my
ignorance.



In search of answers,



Cecil Cook

Sundance Farm

South Africa




On Sun, Mar 3, 2013 at 12:09 AM, Dean Still <deankstill at gmail.com> wrote:
>
Hi Otto,
>>
>> Yes, I'll be in Cambodia.
>>
>> I think that informing users of kerosene lamps how they can get rid of
>> the soot could be helpful just as making other options available is a great
>> idea.
>>
>> Best,
>>
>> Dean
>>
>>
>> On Sat, Mar 2, 2013 at 11:39 AM, Otto Formo <terra-matricula at hotmail.com>wrote:
>>
>>>  Dear Dean and Crispin,
>>>
>>> But you need to buy Kerosene, which costs close to two US $ per litre in
>>> Zambia, and are still fossil fuel.
>>>
>>> We prefer waste biomass as fuel, for free and available everywhere.
>>>
>>> Will you be attending the conference in Cambodia?
>>>
>>> Otto
>>>
>>> ------------------------------
>>> Date: Sat, 2 Mar 2013 10:37:04 -0800om: deankstill at gmail.com
>>> To: stoves at lists.bioenergylists.org
>>> Subject: Re: [Stoves] Stoves Digest, Vol 31, Issue 1 Topic 2
>>>
>>> http://www.aprovecho.org/lab/pubs/video-gallery
>>>
>>> Hi Crispin,
>>>
>>> I agree that blaming kerosene instead of the lamp for making soot misses
>>> the opportunity to fix the problem not by switching fuels but by just
>>> fixing the lamp. Kelley Grabow and Ed Wilson did
>>> dome preliminary investigation shown in a video above that seemed to
>>> indicate that fixing the lamp might be pretty simple.
>>>
>>> Best,
>>>
>>> Dean
>>>
>>> On Fri, Mar 1, 2013 at 10:51 PM, Geoff Thomas <wind at iig.com.au> wrote:
>>>
>>> Hi Crispin that link required some un-related password to do with
>>> Microsoft.
>>> > <
>>> https://mail.chemonics.net/exchange/emdelate/Drafts/RE:%20[Stoves]%20Gas%20Bottle%20TLUDs.EML/1_multipart/image001.jpg<https://mail.chemonics.net/exchange/emdelate/Drafts/RE:%20%5bStoves%5d%20Gas%20Bottle%20TLUDs.EML/1_multipart/image001.jpg>
>>> >
>>> No way it could be viewed.
>>> Cheers,
>>> Geoff.
>>>
>>> On 02/03/2013, at 6:00 AM, stoves-request at lists.bioenergylists.orgwrote:
>>>
>>> > Send Stoves mailing list submissions to
>>> >       stoves at lists.bioenergylists.org
>>> >
>>> > To subscribe or unsubscribe via the World Wide Web, visit
>>> >
>>> http://lists.bioenergylists.org/mailman/listinfo/stoves_lists.bioenergylists.org
>>> >
>>> > or, via email, send a message with subject or body 'help' to
>>> >       stoves-request at lists.bioenergylists.org
>>> >
>>> > You can reach the person managing the list at
>>> >       stoves-owner at lists.bioenergylists.org
>>> >
>>> > When replying, please edit your Subject line so it is more specific
>>> > than "Re: Contents of Stoves digest..."
>>> >
>>> >
>>> > Today's Topics:
>>> >
>>> >   1. Re: Skoll article on HAP research (Crispin Pemberton-Pigott)
>>> >   2. Re: Gas Bottle TLUDs (Elisha Moore-Delate)
>>> >   3. Re: [biochar] Re:  ~Stoves and STEM education~ (Erin Rasmussen)
>>> >   4. Re: Skoll article on HAP research (nari phaltan)
>>> >   5. Fwd: Re: [Sfpnotices] Green Energy Solves Dual Crises of
>>> >      Poverty and Climate (Lloyd Helferty)
>>> >
>>> >
>>> > ----------------------------------------------------------------------
>>> >
>>> > Message: 1
>>> > Date: Thu, 28 Feb 2013 15:07:23 -0500
>>> > From: "Crispin Pemberton-Pigott" <crispinpigott at gmail.com>
>>> > To: "'Discussion of biomass cooking stoves'"
>>> >       <stoves at lists.bioenergylists.org>
>>> > Subject: Re: [Stoves] Skoll article on HAP research
>>> > Message-ID: <00ce01ce15ef$3a1b7c90$ae5275b0$@gmail.com>
>>> > Content-Type: text/plain; charset="utf-8"
>>> >
>>> > Dear Christina
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> > Thanks for the pointer.
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> > For the benefit of readers I would like to raise one point about the
>>> emissions and the fuel.
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> > ?Getting Good Data Could be Easy
>>> >
>>> > ?If solid fuel cook stoves and kerosene lanterns are used in the same
>>> households, then getting the answers we need may be straightforward and low
>>> cost. While in the field, mothers being surveyed about their use of solid
>>> fuel cook stoves could also be asked a few questions about their use of
>>> kerosene for lighting. Some additional field observations could be
>>> recorded. Existing resources allocated to studies planned for cook stoves
>>> research could be very easily leveraged to quickly and inexpensively begin
>>> to build a body of knowledge about the effects of kerosene lighting.?
>>> >
>>> > The article also says that ?A recent Environmental Science and
>>> Technology <mailto:http://pubs.acs.org/doi/abs/10.1021/es302697h>
>>>  article reports that as much as 10% of kerosene smoke is pure black carbon
>>> (soot) ? 20 times higher than previous studies had found.?
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> > The black carbon content of kerosene smoke is highly variable. It
>>> depends on what lantern is used and the power setting. The article speaks
>>> as if the emissions are created by the fuel and that worries me. This is an
>>> old fashioned view. It is like saying that ?wood is a smoky fuel?. It
>>> depends on the stove that is burning the wood, and how, doesn?t it? There
>>> is no doubt that one lantern may create 20 times as much black carbon
>>> particles as another lantern, but this tells us nothing about the fuel, it
>>> tells us about the lanterns.
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> > One alternative to a smoky kerosene lantern is a clean burning
>>> kerosene lantern.
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> > Regards
>>> >
>>> > Crispin
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> > From: Stoves [mailto:stoves-bounces at lists.bioenergylists.org] On
>>> Behalf Of Christina Espinosa
>>> > Sent: Thursday, February 28, 2013 12:50 PM
>>> > To: Discussion of biomass cooking stoves
>>> > Subject: [Stoves] Skoll article on HAP research
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> > Here is an article about stoves and kerosene you all might find of
>>> interest:
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> https://skollworldforum.org/2013/02/27/where-theres-smoke-theres-fire-a-call-to-action-for-better-indoor-air-pollution-research/
>>> >
>>> > -------------- next part --------------
>>> > An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
>>> > URL: <
>>> http://lists.bioenergylists.org/pipermail/stoves_lists.bioenergylists.org/attachments/20130228/b6a88fd2/attachment-0001.html
>>> >
>>> >
>>> > ------------------------------
>>> >
>>> > Message: 2
>>> > Date: Thu, 28 Feb 2013 15:26:20 -0500
>>> > From: "Elisha Moore-Delate" <emdelate at chemonics.com>
>>> > To: "Discussion of biomass cooking stoves"
>>> >       <stoves at lists.bioenergylists.org>
>>> > Subject: Re: [Stoves] Gas Bottle TLUDs
>>> > Message-ID:
>>> >       <
>>> CFC22A81DD304945BC918EA8680159BD3F27B8 at CHQ-EMAIL-BE3.chemonics.net>
>>> > Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1"
>>> >
>>> > Thanks Crispin. Appreciate the lovely photos and info.
>>> >
>>> > ________________________________
>>> >
>>> > From: Stoves on behalf of Crispin Pemberton-Pigott
>>> > Sent: Tue 2/26/2013 11:26 PM
>>> > To: 'Discussion of biomass cooking stoves'
>>> > Subject: Re: [Stoves] Gas Bottle TLUDs
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> > Dear Elisha
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> > What a great idea - so many harmonies.  In Mozambique old gas bottles
>>> are widely used as charcoal cooking pots, cut lengthwise from tip to
>>> bottom, after the valve has been removed.
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> > They last a really long time.
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> > Here are two types, one with the cylinder used vertically, one
>>> horizontally.
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> > <
>>> https://mail.chemonics.net/exchange/emdelate/Drafts/RE:%20[Stoves]%20Gas%20Bottle%20TLUDs.EML/1_multipart/image001.jpg<https://mail.chemonics.net/exchange/emdelate/Drafts/RE:%20%5bStoves%5d%20Gas%20Bottle%20TLUDs.EML/1_multipart/image001.jpg>
>>> >
>>> >
>>> > Baseline charcoal stoves in Maputo, Mozambique
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> > Regards
>>> >
>>> > Crispin
>>> >
>>> > -------------- next part --------------
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>>> >
>>> >
>>> > ------------------------------
>>> >
>>> > Message: 3
>>> > Date: Thu, 28 Feb 2013 13:25:04 -0800
>>> > From: "Erin Rasmussen" <erin at trmiles.com>
>>> > To: <biochar at yahoogroups.com>,        "'JJ Claire'" <
>>> pugoclaire at yahoo.com>
>>> > Cc: 'Discussion of biomass' <stoves at lists.bioenergylists.org>
>>> > Subject: Re: [Stoves] [biochar] Re:  ~Stoves and STEM education~
>>> > Message-ID: <010201ce15fa$13a7e2a0$3af7a7e0$@com>
>>> > Content-Type: text/plain; charset="utf-8"
>>> >
>>> > A better source of information about the Stoves list, is our  cooking
>>> stoves web site:
>>> >
>>> > http://www.stoves.bioenergylists.org <
>>> http://www.stoves.bioenergylists.org/>
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> > Sign up here:
>>> http://lists.bioenergylists.org/mailman/listinfo/stoves_lists.bioenergylists.org
>>> >
>>> > and check out the  cooking stoves archive:
>>> http://lists.bioenergylists.org/pipermail/stoves_lists.bioenergylists.org/
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> > Let me know if you have any questions,
>>> >
>>> > Erin
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> > TR Miles Technical Consultants Inc.    <http://www.trmiles.com/>
>>> http://www.trmiles.com/
>>> >
>>> > and BioEnergy Discussion Lists    <http://www.bioenergylists.org/>
>>> http://www.bioenergylists.org/
>>> >
>>> > erin at trmiles.com
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> > T.R. Miles Technical Consultants Inc.
>>> > 1470 SW Woodward Way
>>> > Portland, OR, USA 97225
>>> > Tel. 503-292-0107 Fax. 503-292-2919
>>> >
>>> > cell. 503-8882367
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> > From: biochar at yahoogroups.com [mailto:biochar at yahoogroups.com] On
>>> Behalf Of rongretlarson at comcast.net
>>> > Sent: Wednesday, February 27, 2013 1:36 AM
>>> > To: biochar at yahoogroups.com; JJ Claire; Erin Rasmussen
>>> > Cc: Discussion of biomass
>>> > Subject: Re: [biochar] Re: [Stoves] ~Stoves and STEM education~
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >     2.   Anyone wanting to learn more about the stove list dialog (a
>>> sister list, also managed by Erin) should go to
>>> >
>>> http://www.mail-archive.com/stoves@lists.bioenergylists.org/maillist.html
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> > _._,___
>>> >
>>> > -------------- next part --------------
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>>> >
>>> >
>>> > ------------------------------
>>> >
>>> > Message: 4
>>> > Date: Fri, 1 Mar 2013 07:50:00 +0530
>>> > From: nari phaltan <nariphaltan at gmail.com>
>>> > To: Discussion of biomass cooking stoves
>>> >       <stoves at lists.bioenergylists.org>
>>> > Subject: Re: [Stoves] Skoll article on HAP research
>>> > Message-ID:
>>> >       <CAGeG2tBO24Ht5_RQmbLewRO3k+Y6O5=
>>> wrGtVWs62QOugHYA3xw at mail.gmail.com>
>>> > Content-Type: text/plain; charset="utf-8"
>>> >
>>> > This might be of interest to the stovers that kerosene can be made
>>> into a
>>> > very clean burning fuel just like LPG.
>>> > http://www.cseindia.org/userfiles/Lantern%20that%20cooks.pdf
>>> >
>>> > Cheers.
>>> >
>>> > Anil
>>> >
>>> > On Thu, Feb 28, 2013 at 11:19 PM, Christina Espinosa <
>>> > c_espinosa1 at u.pacific.edu> wrote:
>>> >
>>> >> Here is an article about stoves and kerosene you all might find of
>>> >> interest:
>>> >>
>>> >>
>>> >>
>>> https://skollworldforum.org/2013/02/27/where-theres-smoke-theres-fire-a-call-to-action-for-better-indoor-air-pollution-research/
>>> >>
>>> >> _______________________________________________
>>> >> Stoves mailing list
>>> >>
>>> >> to Send a Message to the list, use the email address
>>> >> stoves at lists.bioenergylists.org
>>> >>
>>> >> to UNSUBSCRIBE or Change your List Settings use the web page
>>> >>
>>> >>
>>> http://lists.bioenergylists.org/mailman/listinfo/stoves_lists.bioenergylists.org
>>> >>
>>> >> for more Biomass Cooking Stoves,  News and Information see our web
>>> site:
>>> >> http://www.bioenergylists.org/
>>> >>
>>> >>
>>> >>
>>> >
>>> >
>>> > --
>>> > Nimbkar Agricultural Research Institute (NARI)
>>> > Tambmal, Phaltan-Lonand Road
>>> > P.O.Box 44
>>> > Phaltan-415523, Maharashtra, India
>>> > Ph:91-2166-222396/220945
>>> > e-mail:nariphaltan at gmail.com
>>> >          anilrajvanshi at gmail.com
>>> >
>>> > http://www.nariphaltan.org
>>> > -------------- next part --------------
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>>> >
>>> >
>>> > ------------------------------
>>> >
>>> > Message: 5
>>> > Date: Fri, 1 Mar 2013 00:38:11 -0500
>>> > From: Lloyd Helferty <lhelferty at sympatico.ca>
>>> > To: Biochar-Policy <biochar-policy at yahoogroups.com>,  Discussion of
>>> >       biomass cooking stoves <stoves at lists.bioenergylists.org>
>>> > Subject: [Stoves] Fwd: Re: [Sfpnotices] Green Energy Solves Dual
>>> >       Crises of Poverty and Climate
>>> > Message-ID: <BLU0-SMTP8737D43D68225A4170FCCEC0FF0 at phx.gbl>
>>> > Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1"; Format="flowed"
>>> >
>>> > FYI
>>> >
>>> >   Lloyd Helferty, Engineering Technologist
>>> >   Principal, Biochar Consulting (Canada)
>>> >   www.biochar-consulting.ca
>>> >   48 Suncrest Blvd, Thornhill, ON, Canada
>>> >   905-707-8754
>>> >   CELL: 647-886-8754
>>> >      Skype: lloyd.helferty
>>> >   Steering Committee coordinator
>>> >   Canadian Biochar Initiative (CBI)
>>> >   President, Co-founder & CBI Liaison, Biochar-Ontario
>>> >   National Office, Canadian Carbon Farming Initiative (CCFI)
>>> >   Partner of Toronto Urban Ag Summitwww.urbanagsummit.org
>>> >   Manager, Biochar Offsets Group:
>>> >            http://www.linkedin.com/groups?home=&gid=2446475
>>> >    Advisory Committee Member, IBI
>>> >   http://www.linkedin.com/groups?gid=1404717
>>> >   http://www.facebook.com/group.php?gid=42237506675
>>> >   http://groups.google.com/group/biochar-ontario
>>> >   http://www.meetup.com/biocharontario/
>>> >   http://www.biocharontario.ca
>>> >    www.biochar.ca
>>> >
>>> > "Whenever you are asked if you can do a job, tell 'em, 'Certainly I
>>> can!' Then get busy and find out how to do it."
>>> >  - Theodore Roosevelt
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> > -------- Original Message --------
>>> > Subject:      Re: [Sfpnotices] Green Energy Solves Dual Crises of
>>> Poverty
>>> > and Climate
>>> > Date:         Tue, 26 Feb 2013 21:23:44 -0500
>>> > From:         Robert Korol
>>> > To:   Sfp Notices-list" <sfpnotices at physics.utoronto.ca>
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
>>> > Carla - thank goodness we are getting the power houses of our economic
>>> engines like the*World Bank*  on side with respect to green energy.
>>> >  Maybe there is hope for the world after all!
>>> >
>>> > Bob
>>> >
>>> > On Tue, 26 Feb 2013 20:42:37 -0500
>>> >  "Carla"<carla.wong at utoronto.ca>  wrote:
>>> >> Source:
>>> >>
>>> >>
>>> http://www.ipsnews.net/2013/02/green-energy-solves-dual-crises-of-poverty-and-climate/
>>> >>
>>> >>
>>> >> Green Energy Solves Dual Crises of Poverty and Climate
>>> >>
>>> >> By Stephen Leahy
>>> >>
>>> >>
>>> >> UXBRIDGE, Canada, Feb 25 2013 (IPS) - Green energy is the only way to
>>> bring
>>> >> billions of people out of energy poverty and prevent a climate
>>> disaster, a
>>> >> new study reveals.
>>> >>
>>> >> Conservative institutions like the World Bank, the International
>>> Energy
>>> >> Agency and accounting giant Price Waterhouse Coopers (PwC) all warn
>>> humanity
>>> >> is on a path to climate catastrophe unless fossil fuel energy is
>>> replaced by
>>> >> green energy.
>>> >>
>>> >> The U.N.'s/*Sustainable Energy for All*/  initiative intends to bring
>>> universal
>>> >> access to modern energy, doubling the share of renewable energy
>>> globally,
>>> >> and doubling the rate of improvement in energy efficiency by 2030.
>>> >>
>>> >> Poverty eradication, sustainable development and the transition away
>>> from
>>> >> fossil fuel energy go hand in hand.
>>> >>
>>> >> If those targets are met and similar efforts undertaken to*reduce
>>> >> deforestation*, then climate disaster can be avoided, said Joeri
>>> Rogelj of
>>> >> the<http://www.iac.ethz.ch/>   Institute for Atmospheric and Climate
>>> Science
>>> >> in Zurich  who headed the analysis published Sunday in the journal
>>> >> <http://www.nature.com/nclimate/index.html>  Nature Climate Change.
>>> >>
>>> >> "Poverty eradication, sustainable development and the transition away
>>> from
>>> >> fossil fuel energy go hand in hand," Rogelj told IPS.
>>> >>
>>> >> The U.N.<http://www.sustainableenergyforall.org/>  Sustainable
>>> Energy for
>>> >> All (SE4All)  initiative is ambitious, but brings a wide range of
>>> benefits
>>> >> including improvements in health, less air pollution and makes the
>>> >> all-important break from increasing fossil fuel energy use. The
>>> analysis
>>> >> shows the costs of SE4All is far less than the public subsidies the
>>> fossil
>>> >> fuel industry currently receives, he said.
>>> >>
>>> >> Nearly three billion people still use fire for cooking and heating. Of
>>> >> those, some 1.5 billion people have no access to electricity. For a
>>> billion
>>> >> more, their only access is to sporadic and unreliable electricity
>>> networks.
>>> >> Indoor air pollution from burning dung, charcoal, and wood for
>>> heating and
>>> >> cooking leads to nearly two million premature deaths of women and
>>> children
>>> >> every year, more than all the deaths from malaria and tuberculosis.
>>> >>
>>> >> Dirty fossil fuel energy is also a major health hazard in industrial
>>> >> countries, responsible for 50,000 to 100,000 premature deaths and 400
>>> >> billion dollars in health costs a year in the U.S. alone, said Mark
>>> Jacobson
>>> >> an energy expert at Stanford University in California.
>>> >>
>>> >> "In the European Union, it is 350,000 premature deaths a year,"
>>> Jacobson
>>> >> told IPS.
>>> >>
>>> >> SE4All was first announced in 2009. "Energy interacts with all of the
>>> >> development challenges we face," Kandeh Yumkella, director-general of
>>> the
>>> >> United Nations Industrial Development Organisation
>>> >> <
>>> http://www.ipsnews.net/2009/06/development-green-energy-for-all-by-2030/
>>> >
>>> >> told IPS at the launch.
>>> >>
>>> >> Energy experts calculate that decentralised, off-grid technologies
>>> like
>>> >> wind, solar, geothermal and micro-hydro energy generation are the
>>> fastest
>>> >> and most cost effective solutions. Extending current electrical grids
>>> only
>>> >> makes economic sense to meet 15-20 percent of the need due to the high
>>> >> costs.
>>> >>
>>> >> SE4All is well under way now, with more than 50 developing countries
>>> working
>>> >> on national plans to achieve the three goals of universal access,
>>> increasing
>>> >> renewable energy, and doubling the rate of improvement in energy
>>> efficiency.
>>> >>
>>> >> Since 80 percent of human carbon dioxide emissions come from the
>>> global
>>> >> energy system, Rogelj and colleagues at the International Institute
>>> for
>>> >> Applied Systems Analysis in Laxenberg, Austria wanted to quantify the
>>> impact
>>> >> on the global climate.
>>> >>
>>> >> "Achieving the three SE4ALL objectives could put the world on a path
>>> towards
>>> >> global climate protection," they
>>> >> <
>>> http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/nclimate1806.html
>>> >>> conclude in their paper "The UN's 'Sustainable Energy for All'
>>> initiative
>>> >> is compatible with a warming limit of 2 ?C".
>>> >>
>>> >> "Doing energy right will promote the Millennium Development Goals,
>>> such as
>>> >> poverty eradication and social empowerment, and at the same time
>>> kick-start
>>> >> the transition to a lower-carbon economy," says IIASA researcher David
>>> >> McCollum, who also worked on the study.
>>> >>
>>> >> "But the U.N.'s objectives must be complemented by a global agreement
>>> on
>>> >> controlling greenhouse gas emissions."
>>> >>
>>> >> Even if the targets are achieved, explosive economic growth coupled
>>> with
>>> >> greater energy use will overwhelm the climate protection benefits of
>>> SE4All.
>>> >> "There is an explicit need for a global cap on emissions," said
>>> Rogelj .
>>> >>
>>> >> Global carbon emissions were about 52 gigatonnes (billion metric
>>> tonnes) in
>>> >> 2012 and that means fossil fuel energy use must decline so emissions
>>> are
>>> >> about 41-47 Gt by 2020 to have a reasonable chance of keeping global
>>> warming
>>> >> below two degrees C.
>>> >>
>>> >> The shift to green energy is under way. Every new megawatt added to
>>> the U.S.
>>> >> electricity supply in January came from renewables, and more than
>>> half of
>>> >> all new electricity generation in 2012 was also from renewables, not
>>> gas as
>>> >> often believed.
>>> >>
>>> >> Iceland has 81 percent renewable energy. Scotland has a mandate to
>>> achieve
>>> >> 100 percent renewable power supply by 2020. Denmark passed laws
>>> requiring
>>> >> that the whole energy supply - electricity, heating/cooling, and
>>> >> transportation - be met by renewable resources.
>>> >>
>>> >> Stanford's Jackobson, among others, have proposed detailed plans on
>>> how to
>>> >> meet 100 percent of the world's energy needs with green energy.
>>> Jacobson
>>> >> believes it could be done as soon as 2030.
>>> >>
>>> >> Costs for the SE4All plan are relatively modest at between 30 and 40
>>> billion
>>> >> dollars a year, a fraction of the 523 billion dollars in subsides for
>>> dirty
>>> >> energy in 2011, according to the International Energy Agency. By
>>> 2030, 300
>>> >> billion dollars a year will be needed to bring electricity into every
>>> home
>>> >> on the planet and prevent catastrophic climate change.
>>> >>
>>> >> Fossil fuel emission reductions will have to continue after 2030 and
>>> >> eventually decline to near zero in order to stay below two degrees C,
>>> said
>>> >> Rogelj.
>>> >>
>>> >> - See more at:
>>> >>
>>> http://www.ipsnews.net/2013/02/green-energy-solves-dual-crises-of-poverty-and-climate/#sthash.bCVEtR8U.dpuf
>>> >>
>>> >>
>>> >
>>> > - - - - - - -
>>> > Robert Korol
>>> > Professor emeritus, Civil Engineering
>>> > McMaster University
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >
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>>> >
>>> > ------------------------------
>>> >
>>> > Subject: Digest Footer
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>>> > End of Stoves Digest, Vol 31, Issue 1
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