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Anil Rajvanshi anilrajvanshi at gmail.com
Thu Nov 30 20:01:22 CST 2017


Thanks Nikhil for the clarifications. No I do not know him from Adam.

Anil

Anil K Rajvanshi, Ph.D.
Director and Hon. Secretary
Nimbkar Agricultural Research Institute (NARI)
Tambmal, Phaltan-Lonand Road,
P.O.Box 44, Phaltan - 415523
Maharashtra, India

cell:+91-9422402326 (BSNL)
cell:+91-9588636327 (JIO)
Ph: +91-9168937964 (office)
www.nariphaltan.org

http://www.nariphaltan.org/writings.htm (AKR's articles and talks)
http://www.huffingtonpost.in/dr-anil-k-rajvanshi/ (Huffington Post blogs)
http://nariphaltan.org/nari-in-press/ (articles and news published about
NARI)
http://www.thebetterindia.com/author/anilrajvanshi/ (ocassional blogs in
Better India)
http://www.speakingtree.in/anil-rajvanshi (Speaking Tree blogs)


alternate e-mail:
nariphaltan at gmail.com



On Thu, Nov 30, 2017 at 9:53 PM, Nikhil Desai <pienergy2008 at gmail.com>
wrote:

> Anil:
>
> Do you know Goklany? I wonder if this is someone I knew eons ago.
>
> Anyway, he needs to read up the GBD methodology and in particular the WHO
> link I posted a couple of days ago to estimating BOD from HAP.
>
> He is on the wrong track asking, "Are aggregate data on life expectancy
> consistent with such claims?"
>
> There are only aggregate ESTIMATE of life expectancy at various ages by
> cohort (a hugely political issue) and in turn developed from something
> called Life Tables.
>
> If you ask WHO and public health folks how Life Tables are developed,
> there are stories about that too. Read up WHO report on Causes of Death,
> Jan 2017.
>
> Much of his analysis after that is the same problem as with the claims he
> is trying to dissect - associations are associations, attributions depend
> on methods and allocation, and above all, these are population (or cohort)
> level indicators (life expectancy or pollution in the way he chooses to
> describe). His claims don't stand up to scrutiny either; he simply does not
> understand.
>
> Then he writes "Finally, some may argue that while PM2.5 may not reduce
> life expectancy, it may actually make the population sicker. But this
> argument fails scrutiny."
>
> He fails there too - mixing apples and oranges. Yes, he finally recognizes
> his error in part - "Life expectancy is based on data on real births and
> real deaths, whereas the mortality effects of PM2.5 are based on
> “statistical” deaths or, to use a term currently in vogue, “fake”
> deaths.[9] "
>
> This is outrageous. "Statistical deaths" are not "fake deaths". The man is
> simply ignorant, buying the rightwing ideology that seeks to attack the
> leftwing environmentalism. The Wikipedia description of him shows that he
> is likely to be a rightwing hack.
>
> Nikhil
>
>
>
>
> On Thu, Nov 30, 2017 at 6:53 AM, nari phaltan <nariphaltan at gmail.com>
> wrote:
>
>> Quite interesting and informative. Should be widely shared.
>>
>> Anil
>>
>> On 30-Nov-2017 5:14 PM, "Philip Lloyd" <plloyd at mweb.co.za> wrote:
>>
>>> An amusing addition to the “air pollution shortens lives” question:
>>>
>>> https://wattsupwiththat.com/2017/11/28/does-air-pollution-re
>>> ally-shorten-life-spans/
>>>
>>> Philip Lloyd
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>
>
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